Jay Ulfelder

Jay Ulfelder, a political scientist and forecaster, writes the blog Dart-Throwing Chimp.

Articles by Jay Ulfelder

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It’s Getting Better All The Time

Argument

November 24, 2015, 4:41 PM

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Genocide is Going Out of Fashion

Argument

May 14, 2015, 5:07 PM

Wikimedia

Why the World Can’t Have a Nate Silver

Argument

November 8, 2012, 9:55 PM

Democracies and arms control treaties: causation questions

The Multilateralist

September 19, 2012, 3:22 PM

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Worrying about South Africa

Transitions

September 14, 2012, 2:58 PM

Ed Jones/AFP/Getty Images

Bucking the Odds in North Korea

Argument

September 5, 2012, 3:08 PM

ISSOUF SANOGO/AFP/Getty Images

The Watch List

Failed States

June 18, 2012, 2:04 AM

KHALED DESOUKI/AFP/Getty Images

Crystal Clear

Response

June 22, 2011, 2:43 PM

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